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Arkansas (2-4) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on Vanderbilt (3-3) on Oct. 17 in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Vanderbilt Commodores are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
Bet now on Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
The winning team model predicts Vanderbilt will win this game with 61.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Arkansas Razorbacks and the Vanderbilt Commodores, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks and all games with BetMGM
Arkansas Razorbacks is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
Vanderbilt Commodores is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.32 Units / -4.83% ROI).
Arkansas is winless (0-10) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .510
Arkansas is winless (0-4) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .471
Arkansas is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
Arkansas is winless (0-12) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Vanderbilt is 9-3 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .591
Vanderbilt was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422
Vanderbilt is 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
Vanderbilt is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .699
Vanderbilt gained 3,673 yards on 269 receptions (13.7 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among SEC skill players. Arkansas’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Vanderbilt’s TEs gained 1,076 yards on 81 receptions (13.3 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Arkansas’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt gained 3,673 yards on 269 receptions (13.7 YPR) last season — T-14th-best among FBS skill players. Arkansas’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas’s QBs threw for 3,155 passing yards in 12 games (262.9 YPG) last season — 28th-best among FBS teams. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 249.5 passing yards per game last season — worst among SEC defenses.
Arkansas’s QBs threw for 3,155 passing yards in 12 games (262.9 YPG) last season — 28th-best among FBS teams. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 249.5 passing yards per game last season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas gained 3,155 yards on 231 receptions (13.7 YPR) last season — T-14th-best among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-4th-best among SEC defenses.
Arkansas Skill Players averaged 20.6 yards per reception (743 yards/36 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
Arkansas WRs averaged 25.8 yards per reception (620 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Arkansas TEs averaged 19.2 yards per reception (844 yards/44 catches) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1
Arkansas WRs averaged a touchdown every 22.6 receptions (181 Rec/8 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 10.6
Arkansas QBs fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone last season– most among FBS Teams
Vanderbilt TEs averaged 6.2 receptions per game (81/13) last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 3.8
Vanderbilt WRs averaged just 6.6 receptions per game (86/13) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 12.0
Vanderbilt TEs were targeted 4 times in the 1st quarter last week– most among SEC Teams
Vanderbilt WRs were targeted 11.6 times per game (151/13) last season– lowest among SEC Teams; Average: 19.7
Vanderbilt gained 3,673 yards on 269 receptions (13.7 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among SEC skill players. Arkansas’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Arkansas has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 16 of 492 attempts (3%) since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%
Arkansas has allowed 16 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in the SEC
Arkansas has allowed 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (186 yards / 20 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 5.1
Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8
Arkansas has allowed 16 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS
Vanderbilt tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 39 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.
Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs just once on 70 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 12.9
Vanderbilt has allowed 21 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– most in the SEC
Vanderbilt has allowed 19 first down receptions in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– most in the SEC
Vanderbilt allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 52 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%
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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.
Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.
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