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Alabama (7-2) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on Vanderbilt (4-5) on Nov. 14 in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:45 pm.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
Bet now on Vanderbilt Commodores vs Alabama Crimson Tide & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Vanderbilt Commodores, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Vanderbilt Commodores vs Alabama Crimson Tide and all games with BetMGM
Alabama Crimson Tide is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
Vanderbilt Commodores is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.52 Units / -15.25% ROI).
Alabama is 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .662
Alabama is 8-5 (.615) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .427
Alabama is 10-2 (.833) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .649
Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .624
Vanderbilt is 12-5 (.706) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .593
Vanderbilt was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645
Vanderbilt is 6-1 (.857) when forcing and recovering at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .685
Vanderbilt was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Vanderbilt’s WRs gained 2,154 yards on 148 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s TEs gained 1,076 yards on 81 receptions (13.3 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s QBs threw for 3,738 passing yards in 13 games (287.5 YPG) last season — 10th-best among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.
Alabama’s offense threw for 3,953 passing yards in 15 games (263.5 YPG) last season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 249.5 passing yards per game last season — worst among SEC defenses.
Alabama’s offense threw for 3,953 passing yards in 15 games (263.5 YPG) last season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 249.5 passing yards per game last season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s TEs had 62 receptions in 15 games (4.1 per game) last season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 23.5 receptions per game last season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama WRs averaged 29.0 yards per reception (348 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Alabama Skill Players averaged 20.7 yards per reception (497 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
Alabama have thrown 13 TDs and just one interception in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.7
Alabama TEs had no touchdowns on 1 receptions in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 1.8
Alabama Skill Players averaged 21.9 yards per reception (636 yards/29 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 14.0
Vanderbilt’s WRs gained 2,154 yards on 148 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s TEs gained 1,076 yards on 81 receptions (13.3 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Vanderbilt’s QBs threw for 3,738 passing yards in 13 games (287.5 YPG) last season — 10th-best among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.
Vanderbilt gained 3,673 yards on 269 receptions (13.7 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among SEC skill players. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Vanderbilt’s QBs threw for 3,738 passing yards in 13 games (287.5 YPG) last season — 10th-best among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama has not recorded a sack (29 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.5
Alabama allowed 20 first down receptions last week– most in the SEC
Alabama has not recorded a sack (29 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 9.7
Alabama allowed 380 Passing Yards last week– most in the SEC
Alabama allowed 20 first down receptions last week– most among Power Conference Teams
Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs just once on 77 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 12.9
Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs just once on 77 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.4
Vanderbilt allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 52 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%
Vanderbilt has not recorded a sack (22 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 9.7
Vanderbilt has not recorded a sack (22 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.5
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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.
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